ECB ‘very likely’ to cut interest rates next week, France’s Villeroy says
French Central Bank Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau delivers remarks during an event at the Peterson Institute for International Economics on April 12, 2023 in Washington, DC.
Kevin Dietsch | Getty Images
The European Central Bank is “very likely” to reduce interest rates at its monetary policy meeting on Oct. 17, Bank of France Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau told radio station France Info on Wednesday.
Villeroy continued that the rate cut “won’t be the last” despite likely “ups and downs” in inflation in the months to come, according to a CNBC translation.
“Victory against inflation is in sight,” he told France Info.
Inflation in the euro area fell to 1.8% in September, below the ECB’s 2% target, and cooled to 1.5% in France.
The ECB has cut interest rates twice already this year — in June and September — taking its key rate from 4% to 3.5% across the two trims.
Money market pricing as of Wednesday afternoon showed another 25-basis-point rate reduction fully priced in for October.
— Jenni Reid
Sweden’s Volvo says deputy CEO to step down
The Volvo emblem is seen on the front bumper of a vehicle at the Volvo Cars of Austin dealership on September 04, 2024 in Austin, Texas.
Brandon Bell | Getty Images
Alphabet falls as DOJ considers Google breakup
Alphabet shares were down more than 1% after the U.S. Justice Department indicated it was considering a breakup of the tech giant following a monopoly ruling.
The changes are necessary to “prevent and restrain monopoly maintenance could include contract requirements and prohibitions; non-discrimination product requirements; data and interoperability requirements; and structural requirements,” the department said in a filing.
— Fred Imbert
European markets strengthen after lackluster open
A man walks through the lobby of the London Stock Exchange in London, Britain, May 14, 2024.
Hannah Mckay | Reuters
European markets edged higher on Wednesday after a lackluster start to the day, with defensive sectors, including utilities, food and beverage and healthcare, in positive territory.
Defensive sectors tend to perform better in times of economic uncertainty, with market participants assessing the risks of Chinese market volatility, conflict in the Middle East and the trajectory for central bank interest rate cuts and inflation.
Mid-morning, the Stoxx 600 index was trading 1% higher, as all sectors rose except for banks, which dipped by 0.3%.
Looking at individual stocks in Europe, the biggest losers on the pan-European Stoxx index were pharmaceutical and biotechnology company Bayer, which was down 6.4%, along with Dutch lender ING, which shed 3%.
The best performer on the index was Continental, up 6.5% after the German car parts maker said on a pre-close call on Tuesday that it expects the profitability of its automotive business to improve in the third quarter despite lower sales, Reuters reported.
— Holly Ellyatt
China’s CSI 300 plunges 7%, snapping 10-day winning streak amid mixed trading in Asia
Chinese stocks sold off in a volatile day of trading amid mixed Asia-Pacific markets Wednesday.
The mainland CSI 300 dropped 7.05%, snapping a 10-day winning streak and closing at 3,955.98, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index tumbled 1.7% as of its final hour of trade in a choppy session.
On Tuesday, the HSI recorded its worst day in 16 years, closing 9.41% lower.
Other Asian markets climbed Wednesday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 rising 0.87% to 39,277.96, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 edging up 0.13% and closing at 8,187,4.
— Lim Hui Jie
Rio Tinto shares fall on acquisition plan
U.K.-listed shares of Rio Tinto fell 0.6% lower after the Anglo-Australian miner said it would acquire U.S. lithium producer Arcadium Lithium for $6.7 billion.
Rio Tinto and Arcadium Lithium’s share performance over the last six months
Oil and gas stocks rally as crude prices rise
The sun sets behind a crude oil pump jack on a drill pad in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, U.S. November 24, 2019.
Angus Mordant | Reuters
Oil and gas sector stocks on the Stoxx 600 index rallied to trade 0.15% higher, after initially opening 0.2% down.
Oil prices steadied on Wednesday, as traders weighed up developments in the hydrocarbon-rich Middle East and potential Israeli attacks on Iran’s oil infrastructure, amid a background of weaker global demand and ample supply.
Data reported by Reuters showed U.S. crude oil stocks rose by nearly 11 million barrels last week, much more than analysts polled by the news agency had expected, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.
Brent crude futures rose 53 cents, or 0.67%, to $77.70 a barrel by 9 a.m. London time. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures rose 42 cents to $73.98 a barrel.
— Holly Ellyatt
European markets open flat
The pan-European Stoxx 600 index opened flat, up by a marginal 0.06%.
Sentiment brightened in early trades with banks, household goods, insurance, technology and travel and leisure as the only sectors in negative territory.
The FTSE 100 was the only major European index to be trading in positive territory on open, up 0.5%, with France’s CAC 40, Germany’s Xetra DAX and Italy’s FTSEMIB all in red.
— Holly Ellyatt
Boston Fed’s Collins sees more rate cuts ahead
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins said Tuesday she expects more interest rate cuts ahead as inflation eases and the labor market cools.
“My confidence in the disinflation trajectory has increased – but so have the risks of the economy slowing beyond what is needed to restore price stability,” Collins said in a speech to bankers in Boston. “Further adjustments of policy will likely be needed.”
The central bank official noted that the Fed’s “dot plot” after its September meeting pointed to an additional 50 basis points, or half percentage point, in reductions before the end of the year, though she did not specify whether she agrees with the consensus.
—Jeff Cox
Trade deficit fell more than expected in August
The U.S. trade deficit fell more than 10% in August as exports surged, imports declined and the shortfall with China shrunk.
The goods and services imbalance totaled $70.4 billion for the month, down 10.8% from the upwardly revised $78.9 deficit in July, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones were looking for $70.8 billion.
That came as exports rose $5.3 billion, or 2%, and imports declined by $3.2 billion, or 0.9%. However, the year to date trade deficit is still 8.9% higher than the same period a year ago.
—Jeff Cox
Oil is selling off after surging on Middle East war fears
Smoke clouds erupt during an Israeli airstrike on Khiam in southern Lebanon near the border with Israel on October 2, 2024.
– | Afp | Getty Images
Crude oil futures were down nearly 3% in morning trading as fears of imminent retaliation by Israel against Iran have eased somewhat.
U.S. crude oil was down $2.25, or 2.92%, to $74.89 per barrel at around 9:17 a.m. ET. Global benchmark Brent had fallen $2.26, or 2.79%, to $78.67 per barrel.
Oil prices surged 13% through Monday’s close since Iran launched about 180 ballistic missiles at Israel last week. Iran’s attack had raised fears that Israel might retaliate by hitting the country’s oil industry. President Joe Biden, however, has publicly discouraged Israel from taking this course.
The market was also disappointed that Chinese officials did not announce new stimulus at a press briefing Tuesday. Prior to the escalation in the Middle East, the oil market was swept by bearish sentiment on soft demand in China and worries that crude supplies will outpace global demand next year.
— Spencer Kimball
European markets: Here are the opening calls
European markets are expected to open in mixed territory Wednesday.
The U.K.’s FTSE 100 index is expected to open 6 points higher at 8,199, Germany’s DAX up 7 points at 19,066, France’s CAC unchanged at 7,521 and Italy’s FTSE MIB down 61 points at 33,585, according to data from IG.
Data releases to watch out for in Europe today include the German government’s latest economic forecasts. There are no major earnings releases.
— Holly Ellyatt